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Blog EntrySep 20, '10 12:22 PM
for everyone
The recession officially ended in June 2009, according to the Business Cycle
Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a group
charged with determining when recessions officially begin and end.

This official end date makes the most recent downturn the longest since
World War II. This recent recession, having begun in December 2007, lasted
18 months. Until now the longest postwar recessions were those of 1973-5 and
1981-2, which each lasted 16 months.

Recession and expansion dates are based on various economic indicators,
including gross domestic product, income, employment, industrial production
and wholesale-retail sales. The Business Cycle Dating Committee typically
waits to declare that the economy has turned until well after the fact, when
it has a longer track record of economic data to confirm a new trend.

The NBER said the economy bottomed out in June 2009, followed thereafter by
a slow expansion, and its determination of the recession's end does not mean
the U.S. is now healthy. The bureau took care to note that the recession, by
definition, meant only the period until the economy reached its low point �
not a return to its previous vigor.

�In determining that a trough occurred in June 2009, the committee did not
conclude that economic conditions since that month have been favorable or
that the economy has returned to operating at normal capacity,� the NBER
said. �Rather, the committee determined only that the recession ended and a
recovery began in that month.�

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Blog EntryAug 15, '10 8:04 PM
for everyone
A balance sheet, also known as statements of financial position, is a
snapshot of a business's financial condition at a specific moment in
time, usually at the close of an accounting period. A balance sheet
comprises assets, liabilities, and owners' or stockholders' equity.
Assets and liabilities are divided into short- and long-term
obligations including cash accounts such as checking, money market, or
government securities. At any given time, assets must equal
liabilities plus owners' equity. An asset is anything the business
owns that has monetary value. Liabilities are the claims of creditors
against the assets of the business.

What is a balance sheet used for? A balance sheet helps a
small-business owner quickly get a handle on the financial strength
and capabilities of the business. Is the business in a position to
expand? Can the business easily handle the normal financial ebbs and
flows of revenues and expenses? Or should the business take immediate
steps to bolster cash reserves?

Balance sheets can identify and analyze trends, particularly in the
area of receivables and payables. Is the receivables cycle
lengthening? Can receivables be collected more aggressively? Is some
debt uncollectable? Has the business been slowing down payables to
forestall an inevitable cash shortage?

Balance sheets, along with income statements, are the most basic
elements in providing financial reporting to potential lenders such as
banks, investors, and vendors who are considering how much credit to
grant the firm.

Assets

Assets are subdivided into current and long-term assets to reflect the
ease of liquidating each asset. Cash, for obvious reasons, is
considered the most liquid of all assets. Long-term assets, such as
real estate or machinery, are less likely to sell overnight or have
the capability of being quickly converted into a current asset such as
cash. Total assets represents the total dollar value of both the
short-term and long-term assets of your business.

Current assets

Current are any assets that can be easily converted into cash within
one calendar year. Examples of current assets would be checking or
money market accounts, accounts receivable, and notes receivable that
are due within one year's time.

Cash: Money available immediately, such as in checking accounts, is
the most liquid of all short-term assets.

Accounts receivables: This is money owed to the business for purchases
made by customers, suppliers, and other vendors.

Notes receivables: Notes receivables that are due within one year are
current assets. Notes that cannot be collected on within one year
should be considered long-term assets.

Fixed assets

Fixed assets include land, buildings, machinery, and vehicles that are
used in connection with the business. Total fixed assets is the total
dollar value of all fixed assets in your business, less any
accumulated depreciation.

Land: Land is considered a fixed asset but, unlike other fixed assets,
is not depreciated, because land is considered an asset that never
wears out.

Buildings: Buildings are categorized as fixed assets and are
depreciated over time.

Office equipment: This includes office equipment such as copiers, fax
machines, printers, and computers used in your business.

Machinery: This figure represents machines and equipment used in your
plant to produce your product. Examples of machinery might include
lathes, conveyor belts, or a printing press.

Vehicles: This would include any vehicles used in your business

Liabilities and owners' equity

This includes all debts and obligations owed by the business to
outside creditors, vendors, or banks that are payable within one year,
plus the owners' equity. Often this side of the balance sheet is
simply referred to as "liabilities." Total liabilities and owners'
equity: comprises all debts and monies that are owed to outside
creditors, vendors, or banks and the remaining monies that are owed to
shareholders, including retained earnings reinvested in the business.

Current liabilities

Current liabilities include all liabilities due to creditors that must
be paid within a one-year time frame.

Accounts payable: This includes all short-term obligations owed by
your business to creditors, suppliers, and other vendors. Accounts
payable can include supplies and materials acquired on credit.

Notes payable: This represents money owed on a short-term collection
cycle of one year or less. It may include bank notes, mortgage
obligations, or vehicle payments.

Accrued payroll and withholding: This includes any earned wages or
withholdings that are owed to or for employees but have not yet been
paid.

Long-term liabilities

These are any debts or obligations owed by the business that are due
more than one year out from the current date.

Mortgage note payable: This is the balance of a mortgage that extends
out beyond the current year. For example, you may have paid off three
years of a 15-year mortgage note, of which the remaining 11 years, not
counting the current year, are considered long-term.

Owners' equity

Sometimes this is referred to as stockholders' equity. Owners' equity
is made up of the initial investment in the business as well as any
retained earnings that are reinvested in the business.

Common stock: This is stock issued as part of the initial or
later-stage investment in the business.

Retained earnings: These are earnings reinvested in the business after
the deduction of any distributions to shareholders, such as dividend
payments.

Value measurement

Although a balance sheet presents an enterprise�s financial position,
it does not purport to report its real value. It can be explained by
some following reasons.

The values of certain assets, such as human resources, secret
processes, and competitive advantages are not included in a balance
sheet despite the fact that they have value and will generate future
cash flows.

The values of other assets are measured at historical cost, rather
than market value, replacement cost, or specific value to the
enterprise. For example, property and equipment are measured at
original cost reduced by depreciation, but the underlying asset�s
value can significantly exceed that adjusted cost and the assets may
continue to be productive even though fully depreciated in the
accounting records.

The values of most liabilities are measured at the present value of
cash flows at the date the liability was incurred rather than at the
current market rate. When market rates increase, the increase in value
of a liability payable at a fixed interest rate that is below market
is not recognized in the balance sheet. Conversely, when interest
rates decrease, the loss in value of a liability payable at a fixed
rate in excess of the market rate is not recognized.

http://ping.fm/syBbs

Blog EntryAug 12, '10 2:06 PM
for everyone
Art as an investment avenue has been considered an interesting and
profitable alternative, but it is also extremely risky. On May 4,
Pablo Picasso's "Nude, Green Leaves, and Bust" sold for $106.5 million
at Christie's in New York, setting the world record for any work of
art sold at an auction.

The art world tends to trail the stock market by six to 18 months,
says Michael Moses, a retired professor at New York University's Stern
School of Business. But those hoping to swoop in on a nascent rally
should be aware that even the most beautiful art can carry major
blemishes as an investment. "Just like stocks, there are parts of the
art market that will perform differently," he says.

All told, art lost 5% of its worth in the first quarter of 2010,
according to the All Art index, which tracks prices by analyzing some
15,000 repeat sales at auctions. The index plunged 35% during the same
time last year. The index tracks only a sample of works that have
proven themselves in the marketplace by being sold and resold, so it
may not give a complete picture of the entire art market. It does not
track the prices of works that have been bought but not resold or
haven't been put on the market at all.

Expert cautions anyone with less than $20 million in cash to avoid
investing heavily in art. Art investment is a black hole. From the
moment you buy or sell, there are ongoing costs. As an owner, you have
to be realistic. Instead, you should buy because you enjoy what you're
doing or are passionate. But don't cloud the issue by claiming to
invest.

Among the costs of doing business: auction fees, or costs charged to a
seller and buyer by an auction house. They vary widely, but can be 20%
of the price or more. Such fees, typically printed at the front of an
auction catalog, can sometimes be negotiated, and buyers and sellers
can sometimes organize bulk discounts, but costs have generally risen
over the past few years and show few signs of letting up. Steep
specialized transportation, maintenance and insurance costs can also
eat into projected returns.

Art can be used to reduce risk in larger portfolios, but it is
typically not a liquid asset. Generally, works are often held onto for
several decades or even generations, and a painting can rarely be
unloaded as quickly or easily as shares of stock.

And then there are the tax considerations. Art is generally treated as
a collectible, like jewelry or wine, making it subject to a 28%
capital-gains tax when sold, as opposed to the current maximum 15%
long-term capital-gains rate for investments like stocks, says Nadine
Gordon Lee, a CPA. Art is also subject to sales taxes, if you buy a
painting in London and live in New York, say, you are on the hook for
sales tax bill when you come back home.

You will also need to reappraise any artwork when it becomes part of
an estate or is given away, and owners must keep detailed
documentation of a work's history to prove estate tax has been paid on
it in the past in order to resell it at an auction. You can't just
take something off a family member's wall.

Some investors, mostly ultra-high-net-worth or institutional ones, can
invest in funds that buy and sell art. The Fine Art Fund Group, a
London-based investment house, has $100 million under management and
offers funds that specialize in areas such as fine art, Chinese art
and Middle Eastern art. The firm may buy and hold work for one day or
10 years, says Fine Art Fund Group founder and CEO Philip Hoffman.

The fee structure is similar to that of conventional hedge funds, with
the firm charging a 2% management fee and a 20% performance fee after
the funds earn a 6% return. Minimum investments range from $100,000 to
$250,000.

Like stocks, some art sectors will rise and fall at varying rates.
Investors should diversify within an art portfolio. Valuing different
art classes and how they complement each other can be a tedious
exercise in cobbling together numbers from auction houses, sellers and
other sources.

http://www.dloewi.com/

Blog EntryAug 11, '10 10:30 PM
for everyone
The idea of micro lending, sometimes called micro-finance, is more
typically associated with loans in amounts as little as $25, disbursed
to impoverished people in developing countries, ideally helping them
to generate their own income to climb out of poverty.

But more recently, microcredit has become a mainstream practice in the
U.S., and even though the average Small Business Administration (SBA)
microloan size is $13,000, the SBA's program shares a similar mission
as traditional microloan programs.

While the microloan program is open to all entrepreneurs, the program
especially supports underserved markets. This includes borrowers with
little or no credit history, low-income borrowers, and women and
minority entrepreneurs who generally don't qualify for conventional
loans or larger SBA guaranteed loans, said Pravina Raghavan, director
of the SBA's New York District Office

Most banks, large or small, do not bother granting business loans of
less than $50,000 because there�s not enough profit to balance the
risk. By contrast, microfinance programs in the United States
typically lend $35,000 or less to small businesses with five or fewer
employees. They charge more than traditional banks, of course, with
interest rates ranging from 5 to 18 percent.

When President Obama signed the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
into law in February 2009 to create jobs and promote spending, the law
included $56.1 million for microloans for small businesses, to be
doled out through the SBA through September.

Targeted toward start-up, newly-established, or growing small
businesses, the microloans are short-term loans up to $35,000 each for
working capital or inventory and equipment purchases. The intermediary
lenders who distribute the loans can choose to lend more than that
limit.

SBA microloans are disbursed through specially-designated non-profit
intermediary lenders across the country that pays the SBA interest of
about 1%. A list of the intermediary lenders can be found on the SBA
website,

The intermediaries themselves can pool funds together to lend as much
as $50,000, and interest rates for the small-business borrowers, which
are usually no more than 10%, are individually negotiated with the
intermediary lenders.

Unlike mainstream banks, which focus on an applicant�s credit score,
the programs consider passion and commitment to the business. Most
require that loan recipients take workshops on money management,
marketing and business plans, and some have income caps.

Nationwide, since the Recovery Act was signed, the average total
dollar amount of microloans made each month has grown to $3.1 million,
up from $2.5 million in 2008. SBA intermediaries made 2,717 loans in
2009. In the New York City area alone, the SBA's lending volume
increased by 70% in a year.

Small-business owners looking to borrow money should research the 20
intermediaries as each has different policies.

Only about 1% of small businesses are helped by these loans, and a
separate survey showed small-business owners consistently place
financing issues near the bottom of their most pressing concerns,
according to a Congressional Research Service in 2010,

Just 5% of small-business owners said obtaining loans was a critical
problem, according to a National Federation of Independent Business
survey in early 2008 of 3,530 small-business owners.

http://consulting.dloewi.com/

The Senate passed landmark financial overhaul bill 60-39 Thursday,
following House passage last month. The bill is to be signed into law
by President Barack Obama soon. The passage of the sweeping bill ends
more than a year of wrangling over the shape of the new rules.

The bill marks a potential broad change for the financial-services
industry. The legislation creates a council of federal regulators to
monitor economic risks; establishes a new agency to police consumer
financial products; and sets new standards for the way derivatives are
traded. It leaves a vast number of details for regulators to work out,
inevitably setting off another round of battles that could last for
years.

Treasury Department officials have taken initial steps to prepare the
new consumer agency, called the Bureau of Consumer Financial
Protection and housed within the Federal Reserve. Regulators are in
the process of creating a system so that large, complex and failing
financial companies can be broken up and liquidated without disrupting
markets.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has designated resources to
begin implementing its expansive new authority over derivatives. The
Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and Securities and
Exchange Commission are also very involved in the implementation.

Democrats say the bill will cut the odds of another crisis and better
handle one when it arrives. They also contend it will restore
confidence in U.S. financial markets, protect consumers and spur
growth.

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Blog EntryJul 10, '10 3:56 PM
for everyone
Government agencies, industry groups, and non-profit organizations
generate a nonstop flow of statistics on the U.S. economy. Economic
indicators provide real-time information on the direction of the
economy as it relates to economic growth, inflation, jobs, and the
health of the financial markets, according to economists.

Do you ever wonder what those reports really mean or why they're
important to you as an investor?

Investors use the economic data to interpret current or future
investment possibilities and judge the overall health of an economy.
The key information to extract from these indicators is how far they
differ from what was expected. Financial markets are forward-looking,
and securities prices incorporate economists' consensus forecasts for
economic growth, inflation, jobs, etc. Markets react to an indicator
only when the actual release of that indicator comes above or below
what was originally expected.

The best investors will utilize many economic indicators, looking for
patterns and verifications within different sets of data. Some major
economic indicators are regarded as to more likely influence the
markets and so are widely followed include gross domestic product
(GDP), consumer price index (CPI), and unemployment rate. The
followings are short introductions of those primary economic
indicators.


Gross Domestic Product: Gauging the economic health

Gross domestic product, commonly referred to as GDP, is commonly used
as an indicator of the economic health of a country, as well as to
gauge a country's standard of living. GDP measures the overall value
of the goods and services produced by the U.S. economy in a specific
time period; and is often thought of as the most important economic
indicator. GDP is made up of several factors, including public
consumption or consumer spending; business investment; federal, state,
and local government spending; and net exports (exports less imports).

Real Economic Growth Rate builds onto the economic growth rate by
taking into account the effect that inflation has on the economy. It
is a measure of economic growth from one period to another expressed
as a percentage and adjusted for inflation (i.e. expressed in real as
opposed to nominal terms). The real economic growth rate is a measure
of the rate of change that a nation's gross domestic product (GDP)
experiences from one year to another. The real economic growth rate is
a more accurate look at the rate of economic growth because it is not
distorted by the effects of extreme inflation or deflation.

Estimates of GDP growth are made each quarter, and the rate of growth
or contraction is then expressed as an annual figure. A growing
economy typically means more jobs, higher incomes, and more businesses
generating profits. For these reasons, GDP growth is often regarded as
good news for the financial markets.

However, it's possible to have too much of a good thing. If consumer
and business spending are growing too rapidly, investors may worry
that it will lead to a shortage of goods and workers, pushing prices
and labor costs higher and causing inflation to rise.


Consumer Price Index: Prices predict inflation

One of the most important factors for investors to watch is inflation
or deflation, and the best-known indicator of inflation or deflation
is the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Large rises in CPI during a short
period of time typically denote periods of inflation and large drops
in CPI during a short period of time usually mark periods of
deflation. Inflation means the rate at which the general level of
prices for goods and services is rising, and, subsequently, purchasing
power is falling. As inflation rises, every dollar will buy a smaller
percentage of a good.

The CPI tracks the prices of goods and services purchased by
consumers. The CPI is calculated by taking price changes for each item
in the predetermined basket of goods and averaging them; the goods are
weighted according to their importance.

Core CPI is released at the same time as CPI and is a measure of the
prices of goods and services, minus food and energy prices, which tend
to be more volatile.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) tracks prices received by producers for
their finished products. If the PPI goes up, it's another good
indicator that inflation is on the rise.

If inflation rises too quickly, it could trigger the Federal Open
Market Committee (FOMC) to raise interest rates in an effort to slow
down the growth of the economy and thus take some pressure off prices.
If interest rates rise, bond and stock prices may drop. On the other
hand, when interest rates have fallen significantly, consumers and
businesses tend to increase spending, causing bond and stock prices to
rise.


Unemployment Rate: The job market can influence the financial markets

The unemployment rate is the percentage of people in the total
workforce who are unemployed and actively seeking jobs, including new
entrants into the workforce as well as people who have lost their jobs
and are looking for new ones. Each month, the U.S. Department of Labor
gathers employment data by surveying individuals and businesses.

The unemployment rate is considered a lagging indicator, confirming
but not predicting long-term market trends. Rising unemployment
generally signals a slowing economy. Falling unemployment is usually
good news, signaling economic growth that can benefit investors.
However, investors sometimes grow concerned that very low unemployment
rates will cause employers to bid up wages and benefits to attract
workers, resulting in higher costs and more rapid inflation.

While the unemployment rate takes into account both previously
employed people and new entrants into the workforce, a weekly report
on jobless claims tracks people who have lost jobs and applied for
unemployment compensation. This can be an early indicator of changes
in employment trends and in the overall economy. Higher initial claims
correlate with a weakening economy.

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Blog EntryApr 30, '10 4:23 PM
for everyone
The U.S. economy continued to grow in the first quarter. National
output expanded at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.2 percent
last quarter, after growing 5.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009.
This marked the third quarter in a row the economy showed strong
economic growth. Economists are optimistic that the news may breed
more confidence about the future turnaround.

Increased consumer spending played a significant role in the last
quarter expansion. Consumer spending grew at 3.6 percent annual rate
in the first part of the year, after growing at 1.6 percent annual
rate in the previous three months. The biggest contributors to
consumer spending growth were purchases of durable goods like cars.
Consumer spending makes up more than 70 percent of the total economy,
and it usually drives growth during economic recoveries.

Although the growth, concern about the job situation has persisted as
the unemployment rate has hovered around 10 percent for the last eight
months. The most recently the unemployment was 9.7 percent in March.

http://ping.fm/4Eome

Blog EntryApr 16, '10 2:54 PM
for everyone
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed a case to sue
Goldman Sachs and one of its employees for civil fraud, alleging they
defrauded investors in selling a financial product tied to subprime
mortgages, in 2007.

The SEC's allegation focuses on a mortgage securities transaction
structured by Goldman, for which it allegedly earned $15 million in
fees. Goldman allegedly helped hedge fund Paulson & Co., led by John
Paulson, bet against those securities, and Paulson's firm made a
profit of about $1 billion. Investors in the mortgage securities lost
more than $1 billion, the SEC said.

The instrument in the S.E.C. case, called Abacus 2007-AC1, was one of
25 deals that Goldman created so the bank and select clients could bet
against the housing market.

The accusation alleges that Goldman sold a synthetic collateralized
debt obligation (Synthetic CDO), to investors. Goldman told those
investors that subprime-mortgage securities underlying the CDO were
selected by a third-party firm called ACA. However, it was the Paulson
fund that had selected the securities.

Paulson, in a separate transaction then put up lots of money to bet
that those securities would sour. Investors who purchased slices of
the CDO collectively lost $1 billion as the mortgage-backed securities
quickly soured amid the mortgage crisis.

The SEC alleges, Goldman misled investors by failing to disclose that
Paulson & Co. also played a role in selecting the mortgages and stood
to profit from their decline in value.

The SEC claims that Goldman Sachs Vice President Fabrice Tourre was
principally responsible for structuring the deal. Tourre, an executive
director in London of Goldman Sachs International, was a vice
president at the company's New York headquarters at the time of the
activities in early 2007, the SEC said.

The SEC is seeking unspecified fines and restitution from Goldman
Sachs and Tourre.

Defaults on the mortgages and the unraveling of related derivatives
and debt played a big role in the credit crunch that led to a Wall
Street meltdown and the worst U.S. recession since the 1930s.

Wall Street slid on Friday, led by bank shares, after Goldman Sachs
was charged with the fraud.

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Good news and improving economy lifted spirits on Wall Street
Wednesday. The Standard & Poor's 500 index broke through a key
milestone 1,200 mark for the first since September 2008, after rising
13.35 points to 1,210.65. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 104
points to end at 11123.03, after previous days breaking the 11,000
point for the first time since Sept. 26, 2008.

The positive news came from all directions. Corporate earnings numbers
show strong results. Shoppers and businesses are feeling better about
the improving economy. Retail spending rose sharply in March, while
consumer inflation remained all but invisible. Businesses boosted
their stockpiles for the second straight month in February in
anticipation of higher shopper demand.

One of the biggest forces behind the market's climb came from JPMorgan
Chase, which reported a better-than-expected profit for the
January-March quarter. Intel posted earnings and revenue after the
closing bell Tuesday that topped analysts' expectations. JPMorgan rose
4.1 percent, while Intel added 3.3 percent.

Retail sales surged 1.6 percent last month, the Commerce Department
said, up from February's revised 0.5 percent gain. Increases were
posted across the board. Separately, the government said consumer
prices inched up just 0.1 percent in March. Excluding food and energy,
prices were unchanged in March

Fed reported the recovery is spreading to most parts of the country,
merchants are enjoying better sales, and factories are boosting
production, but companies are still cautious of starting hiring. In
its beige book of regional economic indicators, the Federal Reserve
was upbeat about the consumer spending, which represents more than
two-thirds of gross domestic product in the U.S. But the Federal
Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress that the recovery is not
strong enough to shrink the current 9.7 percent unemployment rate much

http://ping.fm/hK4Br

U.S. stocks closed slightly higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones
Industrial Average finished above 11,000 points for the first time
since Sept. 26, 2008. The move was the latest milestone in a rally
that has brought Wall Street back from the verge of economic
collapse.

It came amid signs that U.S. companies were poised to report strong
first-quarter profit with earnings season beginning this week, as well
as investors welcomed a rescue plan for Greece. On Sunday, European
Union officials delivered details of a $40 billion rescue package.

The Dow added 8.62 points to 11,005.97. Other Wall Street indexes
followed the Dow�s lead. The S&P 500 Index rose 2.11 points to
1,196.48, while the Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 3.82 points to
2,457.87.

http://ping.fm/OnXN8

Blog EntryApr 4, '10 2:37 PM
for everyone
Payrolls surge in March marked the beginning of job recovery as
employers added 162,000 nonfarm jobs. This good news came from the
Labor Department reported on Friday, after eight million jobs lost
since the beginning of recession in December 2007. To absorb only new
entrants into the labor market the economy needs to add more than
100,000 jobs a month.

While the unemployment rate held steady at 9.7 percent, economists saw
signs in the latest report that the economy was poised to make steady
progress.

http://ping.fm/NxLcR

Blog EntryMar 28, '10 10:51 PM
for everyone
The euro came under more pressure after Fitch, a credit-ratings
agency, downgraded its assessment of Portugal�s debt.

Meanwhile, Greece got a little bit of good news as the European
Central Bank signalled that it would keep its collateral standards
relaxed beyond 2010, making Greek bonds less unattractive.

http://ping.fm/VIJWM

Blog EntryFeb 26, '10 11:57 PM
for everyone
The economy grew at a faster pace than initially thought at the end of
2009. It grew at a 5.9% annual rate in Q4, up from the Commerce
Department's initial reading of 5.7% and the fastest pace in six
years.

The better-than-expected Q4 growth figure came as companies cut
inventories at a slower pace, accounting for 3.9 percentage points of
the 5.9% growth figure. Business investment also rose at a much faster
pace than initially reported. However, consumer spending, which
accounts for about 70% of economic activity, remained weak.

For all of 2009, the economy shrank 2.4%, the most since 1946

Meanwhile, sales of existing homes unexpectedly plunged 7.2% in
January to an annual rate of 5.05 million units, a seven-month low,
following December's record 16.2% plunge.

http://myvoiceoflife.blogspot.com/2010/02/revised-gdp-showed-faster-growth-in-q4.html

Blog EntryFeb 20, '10 5:23 PM
for everyone
The Federal Reserve surprisingly raised its discount rate by a quarter
of a percentage point, to 0.75 percent from 0.50 percent, effective
Friday, after holding interest rates to extraordinary lows for more
than a year. The Federal Reserve discount rate is the interest rate it
charges on short-term loans made to banks as a backup source of
financing.

It was a clear sign that the era of extraordinarily cheap money was
coming slowly to an end. The central bank will try to drain from the
financial system some of the money it created to keep banks and the
economy afloat over the last two years. And at some point it will
begin putting upward pressure on interest rates by raising its
benchmark fed funds rate, the rate at which banks lend to each other
overnight.

The Fed�s action represents a widening of the spread between the
discount rate and the upper end of the target fed funds rate. The two
rates typically move in lockstep, and were a percentage point apart
before the crisis.

In an effort to encourage banks to come to it for funds to maintain
their stability during the crisis, the Fed sought to make borrowing
from the discount window more attractive than usual. The Fed reduced
the spread between the fed funds rate and discount rate to half a
percentage point in August 2007 and then to a quarter point in March
2008. When the target range for the fed funds rate was lowered to zero
to 0.25 percent in December 2008, the discount rate dropped to 0.50
percent, its lowest level since World War II.

After the announcement stock futures fell in after-hours trading;
yields on 10-year Treasury notes rose about seven basis points, or
seven-hundredths of a percentage point, to 3.8 percent; and the dollar
gained slightly.

http://ping.fm/nwObQ

Blog EntryFeb 7, '10 7:46 PM
for everyone
For investors spooked by financial scams and scandals, the Financial
Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) and the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) offer tools to monitor stockbrokers and identify and
avoid fraud. They are helpful for investors who are afraid of getting
into investing because of recent scandals and the economic meltdown.

At FINRA BrokerCheck, you can check the professional background of
current and former Finra-registered securities firms and brokers, as
well as find any regulatory complaints or customer disputes. You can
also see a listing of the broker�s current registrations, licenses or
exams passed.

At Investment Adviser Public Disclosure, the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) offers a similar check for information about
investment-adviser firms.

Finra also offers Risk Meter and Scam Meter tools, which walk you
through a series of questions aimed at identifying vulnerable
individuals and investments.

For instance, the Risk Meter asks you if you have checked with a
securities regulator to see whether an investment professional is
licensed. Based on the responses, the tool offers suggestions on how
to combat fraud.

Likewise, the site�s Scam Meter allows you to check if an investment
is too good to be true, asking questions such as: How did you learn
about the investment opportunity, and what have you been told about
it? From your answers, the site offers warnings and �advice.

http://ping.fm/sTY02

Blog EntryFeb 6, '10 5:09 PM
for everyone
Having the right mix of stocks, bonds, cash, and commodities in your
portfolio, and being well diversified within each asset class, can
have a profound impact of your returns. ETFs can be an easy way to
gain this diversification. They can be cheap, flexible, and
tax-efficient and may help you gain access to sectors and asset
classes that would otherwise be closed off to individual investors.

The first step in building an ETF portfolio is to figure out the right
asset allocation. You will consider your theoretical exposure to cash,
bonds, large-cap stocks, medium/small-cap stocks, and foreign stocks.
In general, investors with a long time horizon should consider a more
aggressive approach weighted heavily toward equities, while people
within a few years of needing their money should stick to more
conservative investments.

After making your decisions and with help of asset allocator tools
provided by many financial website, you can know the chance that you
will be able to meet your financial goals given how much money you
already have invested and how much additional money you intend to
invest monthly.

Armed with your asset allocation decisions, you can use ETF screeners
to discover which securities will help you achieve your goals.

For core stock exposure, many investors could be well served by ETFs.
There are several inexpensive, broad market ETFs that track major
large-cap indexes, like the S&P 500. This can be a very cheap way to
gain exposure to the broad market, but investors who are dollar-cost
averaging (regularly investing small amounts over time) should
carefully watch broker fees that are incurred when buying ETFs, as
they may push the overall costs of the investment over that of a
traditional index mutual fund.

Another important role that ETFs can play in your portfolio is to
provide access to alternative asset classes like commodities and
currencies. These areas, which used to be available only to
institutional investors and high-net worth individuals, can help
further diversify your portfolio. Although most investors would want
these asset classes to represent only a tiny fraction of their overall
holdings, their presence in a portfolio can be helpful because they
can be uncorrelated to broader stock market returns.

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The U.S. economy lost 20,000 net jobs during January, while the
unemployment rate dipped to 9.7 percent in the month, from 10 percent
in December, the government reported Friday.

The slowing pace of job loss provided signs that the economy was
recovering after the longest recession since the Great Depression.

While construction companies and state and local governments cut back,
manufacturing added 11,000 jobs in January, the first time in three
years.

Despite encouraging indications for the future, the government�s
monthly snapshot of the labor market revealed that last year�s
collapse was considerably more severe than previously recorded. The
Labor Department revised previous data to show that the economy
contained 1.36 million fewer jobs in December, a downward adjustment
of roughly 1 percent. The revisions showed the economy lost 150,000
jobs in December, far more than the 85,000 initially reported.

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U.S. broadest measure of economic activity, gross domestic product,
expanded at an annual rate of 5.7 percent in the fourth quarter, after
a 2.2 percent increase the previous quarter. The growth rate was the
fastest since the third quarter of 2003, when the economy grew at a
rate of 6.9 percent.

Even though the fourth-quarter surge, the economy finished 2009 with
its biggest contraction since 1946, when the country was still cooling
off from World War II.

The single biggest factor in the strong growth rate last quarter was
not consumers buying more, but businesses letting their stockpiles
shrink at a slower rate than they had been previously.

As long as the labor market remains weak, consumers will be reluctant
to spend money. That means businesses will need to look for other
sources of demand, like exports. On net, the economy lost 208,000
nonfarm payroll jobs last quarter, and the unemployment rate rose to
10 percent, from 9.7 percent.

The nation�s output number can be subject to major revisions,
especially when the economy is at a turning point. The annual growth
rate initially reported by the government for the third quarter of
2009 was 3.5 percent, but was later revised to 2.2 percent. The
government�s final tally of last quarter�s output will be released in
March.
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Inflation appears to be largely in check even as interest rates in the
United States remain near zero and the government pumps billions into
the economy. The consumer price index (CPI), a broad gauge of
inflation, increased 0.1 percent in December, down from a 0.4 percent
advance in November. This is the lowest rate since July.

The core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, also rose 0.1
percent, a tick more than the unchanged reading in November

By the end of 2009, prices had jumped 2.7 percent from the previous
year. The core CPI rose 1.8 percent in 2009, the same rate as the
prior year.

The meager rise in the CPI means Federal Reserve policy makers will
probably keep interest rates at their historic lows for the immediate
future.

Many economists believe inflation will not emerge as a threat for some
time because of the large amount of excess capacity, high
unemployment, and weak housing market.

Across the country, machines sit idle or are running at reduced
capacity at many factories. A separate report released Friday said
utilization reached 72 percent, the highest level in a year. Yet that
remained far below the historic average of 80.9.

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U.S. stocks finished the first trading week of the year on a high
note, with the major indexes all turning higher late in Friday's
session. A disappointing employment report had weighed on stocks
throughout the Friday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to 10,618.19, giving it a weekly
rise of 1.8 percent, while the S&P 500 climbed to 1,144.98, up 2.7
percent for the week. The small cap index, Russell 2000 advanced to
644.69, progress 1.46 percent for the week, and the tech-focused
Nasdaq Composite Index climbed to 2,317.17, a level that has it 2.1
percent ahead for the week.

This first week result failed to support the widely known January
effect anomaly. While the large cap stock index, S&P 5000, was up 2.7
percent; the small cap index, Russell 2000 advanced only 1.46 percent.

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